Economy
3 article(s) found
India May Grow Above 7% - But Why Is RBI More Cautious? Understanding Economic Forecasts
India's growth outlook has turned into a genuinely interesting debate. On August 10, 2026, Arvind Panagariya, Chairman of the 16th Finance Commission, said India's economy could grow 7% or more this financial year, calling the underlying conditions robust. That's a noticeably rosier read than the RBI's own latest projection of 6.7% real GDP growth for FY27, a figure the central bank raised at its August monetary policy meeting. A 0.3 percentage point gap sounds trivial. It isn't really the point, though. What it opens up is a much better question - not whether India lands at 6.7% or 7%, but why two credible people looking at the same economy can walk away with different numbers. Understanding that gap is genuinely useful, because it teaches you how to read economic headlines without taking every number at face value, and why policymakers stay cautious even when the underlying picture looks strong.
Banking Liquidity Has Turned Negative — What Does That Really Mean?
A small number in the RBI's daily data has caught economists' attention. Here's why India's banking liquidity slipping into deficit matters more than it appears.
India's Inflation Is Rising Again - Will the RBI Raise Interest Rates?
India's retail inflation climbed to 4.38% in June 2026, pushing above the Reserve Bank of India's medium-term target of 4% for the first time in 17 months. The increase was driven largely by higher food and fuel prices, geopolitical tensions weighing on crude oil markets, and an uneven monsoon. With inflation now above target, economists are debating whether the RBI will raise the repo rate in its upcoming policy meetings. But this is about more than one number. It's a chance to understand how inflation shapes interest rates, why central banks intervene, how global events reach into household budgets, and what all of this means for consumers, businesses, and investors alike.